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RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex

 
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RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 9/5/2017 10:26:26 PM   
IFXGertrude

 

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NZD/USD testing major resistance, prepare to sell

The price is testing major resistance at 0.7261 (Multiple Fibonacci retracements, horizontal swing high resistance) and we expect to see a strong reaction from this level to push the price down to at least 0.7208 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support).

Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing major resistance below 92% and we expect a corresponding reaction off this level.

Sell below 0.7261. Stop loss is at 0.7301. Take profit is at 0.7208.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

(in reply to IFXGertrude)
Post #: 41
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 9/6/2017 10:06:49 PM   
IFXGertrude

 

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Brent made friends with hurricanes

Hurricane Harvey did not bring happiness, but this disaster helped the "bulls" in the North Sea and saved them by catching the straw, instead of forcing them to flee the battlefield. The experts of Bloomberg predicted that the US black gold reserves will grow by 2.5 million barrels by the end of the week by 1 September, while the Goldman Sachs announced that it will reach 40 million barrels within a month as the hurricane ends. The oil became a more serious driver of growth which returned refinery to life.

ExxonMobil, Phillips 66, Valero Energy and others reported about the resumption of refining operations. As of September 5, factories with a capacity of 3.8 million b/s (about 20% of the total value for the States) were closed, while at the height of the hurricane it was about 4.2 million b/s capacity. According to the US Energy Information Administration, the continuation process can take several days or weeks. Everything will depend on the damage found at the time of the resumption.

Along with the return to life of the oil refinery, oil has another important hidden driver of growth as the domestic energy increased its demand among the states affected by Harvey. The White House asked the Congress for about $ 7.9 billion in aid to Texas and Louisiana for restoration work, which is regarded as a "bullish" factor for black gold.

However, Goldman Sachs claims that the potential growth of oil is limited, as the current situation is likely to take advantage of mining companies from the States. The possible price hike will increase the hedging of price risks and production volumes, which will affect the global balance of the physical asset market and the futures market. The bank draws attention to the fact that companies have significantly reduced costs in recent years, and the level of revenue showed a growth in profits. This position corresponds to the opinion of the Alexander Novak, Minister of Energy of Russia, saying that in 2018 Brent will cost $45-55 per barrel.

Corrections to the current alignment of forces can make another hurricane. Irma is moving in the direction of Florida, but it is impossible that its impact will be more serious for the US oil industry than Harvey's influence.

Brent and WTI gained support from the weak dollar. The dovish statement of Lael Brainard and Neel Kashkari reduced the potential increase of the federal funds rate in December to 37%. The growth of geopolitical risks related to North Korea put pressure on the yields of US Treasury bonds by pushing futures for the North Sea grade to the maximum levels since May.

Dynamics of oil and the dollar index

Source: Trading Economics.

Technically, the "bulls" renewed July highs of Brent along with the activation of the AB = CD pattern increase the risks of continuing the northern campaign towards the target at 127.2% and 161.8%. This corresponds to $54.7 and $56 per barrel. On the contrary, the inability of buyers to keep prices above the levels of $53.7 and $52.9 will indicate weakness.

Brent Daily Chart

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

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Post #: 42
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 9/7/2017 10:20:16 PM   
IFXGertrude

 

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Draghi moved the answers to late autumn

The European currency strengthened its position against the US dollar after the press conference of the president of the European Central Bank, which took place immediately after the regulator left its interest rates unchanged.

However, it should be noted that the growth of the euro was more restrained than many analysts had predicted. Basically this was due to the fact that specific deadlines or measures regarding the repurchase program of the bonds were not announced.

During the speech ECB President Draghi, he said that rates will be at current levels for a long period, and in the framework of quantitative easing, the ECB will buy assets of 60 billion euros a month until December 2017 or longer, if necessary.

As for the specific time frames, the ECB President said that this fall, it will be decided when to adjust the parameters of the policy next year. This leaves room for further strengthening of the euro in the medium term, therefore it would be wrong to talk of any major downward correction in the EURUSD pair. The market reaction associated with buying the euro in the current situation speaks for itself.

Mario Draghi also drew attention to the fact that the economic recovery seems strong and large-scale, and the available information confirms that the prospects for economic growth remain the same.

Draghi very mildly expressed concern regarding the exchange rate of the European currency, saying that the recent volatility of exchange rates is a source of uncertainty that requires observation. Some analysts predicted today that there will be verbal intervention by the president of the European Central Bank, aimed at weakening the rate of the single European currency.

The ECB President also drew attention to the fact that when deciding on monetary policy, the central bank will have to take into account the exchange rate.

As for inflation, according to Draghi, the core index has grown slightly, but a very significant monetary stimulus is still needed.

Data on the labor market slightly supported the US dollar, as the number of Americans who applied for unemployment benefits increased last week. The rise is associated with Hurricane Harvey. According to the report of the US Department of Labor, the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits for the week from August 27 to September 2 increased by 62,000 and amounted to 298,000. Economists predicted the number of applications to be at 241,000.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

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Post #: 43
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 9/11/2017 10:51:59 PM   
IFXGertrude

 

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The dollar turned into a Whipping Boy

These factors try to justify the current weakening of the dollar. However, the hurricanes did not affect anything important either in the financial world or in oil and gas production. Even the nuclear missiles, that cannot fly as far as the US, have little effect.

Over the past week, the dollar has weakened considerably. Both the euro and the pound have been strengthening day by day. In many ways this was contrary to common sense, or at least it seemed so at first glance. It is often said that the blame for all the hurricanes that hit the south of the United States is the nuclear tests of the DPRK.

The television footage of the destruction caused by the hurricane in Texas, of course, is impressive. Especially when you realize that we are talking about the second-largest economy and the second-largest population in the state. The first thought that this footage led to is panic, which inevitably affected the dollar. Moreover, if you remember, Texas is famous for its oil workers. It's as if the hurricane caused huge damage to France. However, Texas is a huge state, bigger than most countries in the world. The hurricane affected only a small part of it, and oil production in the United States has long ago moved north of Texas itself. Shale oil and gas in the state is not affected too much. Also, do not forget that in terms of the financial world, Texas is simply insignificant. Another thing, it is in New York or Chicago where large investors and financial tycoons live. Well, it was the case back in Boston. In short, it's not worth writing off everything for a hurricane.

North Korea have caused a lot of people to worry about ballistic missile launches. Here, the weakening of the dollar is explained by the fear of investors of the nuclear strikes of Kim Jong-un. However, everything here is very strange. After all, North Korea has never launched a missile capable of flying to the US territory. Experts only suggest that they have them. But here's what the DPRK definitely has: missiles that are capable of hitting the territory of Japan. About South Korea, they said nothing. So, if all these investors are so afraid of a nuclear attack from the DPRK, it is more logical to transfer money to where they will be the least probability of being hit. Namely, in the US and Europe. Despite this, the dollar weakened against all currencies.

There was also the speech by Mario Draghi which was held immediately after the ECB meeting on monetary policy. He said that if necessary, the program of quantitative easing will be extended beyond December of this year. He also added that interest rates will remain low for a long time. After such words, any currency would inevitably collapse. However, a lot rests on the fact that Mario Draghi did not express concern about the euro. It is understandable that he did not speak about it, since the euro is not a priority for the ECB. The European Central Bank has more important tasks.

So it is necessary to state a simple and banal thing: investors are fleeing from the dollar.

The reason is that investors do not care whether things are going badly or well. It is important for them that the situation is understandable and predictable. Here, in Europe, everything is clear. For a long time, the ECB and the Bank of England will pursue an ultra-soft monetary policy. This, of course, is not very good, but at least it's predictable. In the United States, it is not at all smooth. In the first half of the year, it was promised that by the end of the year, the Fed will refinance the rate of 1.5%. This strengthened the dollar. Now, there are a lot of questions to the Fed, including the rate, which, perhaps, will be left at the level of 1.25%. And since the rate will not be raised any more, then there is nothing anymore to lie about without money.

This scenario will please the eyes of market participants this week. Now, a new hurricane will hit Florida, which is the third largest population and the fourth largest economy by the state. However, the value of Florida is much smaller than that of Texas, so it is quite difficult to use it as an excuse to justify the weakening of the dollar. Especially, since in Florida, unlike Texas, there is no serious industry. The state's position on the size of the economy is only because of the size of the population. However, there is no doubt hurricanes will be used as an excuse.

Another argument in favor of the weakening the dollar is the upcoming meeting of the Bank of England on monetary policy. First, there will be data on inflation, which should show acceleration from 2.6% to 2.8%. If these forecasts are justified, then the number of supporters of the increase in the refinancing rate in the Bank of England will increase. Since the hopes for a rapid increase in the rate in the United States have not been justified, it is worth seeing the UK try. So, the dollar still has to fall in price. Moreover, in the US, a significant slowdown in the growth rate of retail sales is expected from 4.2% to 3.1%.

Considering that practically no significant news is coming out in Europe, the EUR/USD pair, if it grows up, is insignificant. Hysteria about the hurricane in Florida will not allow the dollar to strengthen, so there is a high probability of consolidation around 1.2000.

If the number of votes for raising the refinancing rate in the Bank of England is three or more, then the GBP/USD pair will rise to 1.3350. If inflation increases, the members of the Bank of England board will be cautious, and a pound drop to 1.2950 is possible.

Prime News are provided by InstaForex


< Message edited by IFXGertrude -- 9/11/2017 10:52:29 PM >

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Post #: 44
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 9/24/2017 10:34:49 PM   
IFXGertrude

 

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EUR/JPY dropping nicely, remain bearish

The price continues to test our major resistance at 134.15 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance) and we expect to see a drop form this level to at least 132.01 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support). Do take note of the bullish ascending channel we're seeing as we might see the price bounces off this level and only a break of the channel would see a stronger drop towards our profit target.

Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing major resistance at 96% and we expect a drop from this level. It also displays good downside potential for our drop.

Sell below 134.15. Stop loss is at 134.92. Take profit is at 132.01.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

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Post #: 45
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 9/25/2017 9:29:39 PM   
IFXGertrude

 

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Elections in the Bundestag hold back the euro

Over the past week, despite the fact that the market is pretty polychromic, the euro and the pound remained virtually unchanged. The main event of the week was the meeting of the Federal Commission for Open Markets. The meeting saw the Fed leaving the refinancing rate unchanged. It was quite expected so the market almost ignored this event. The strongest influence was caused by the words of Janet Yellen, which was said during the subsequent press conference. The head of the Federal Reserve did not disappoint investors. She stated that the issue of raising the refinancing rate would be considered during the December meeting. Of course, when making a decision, the Fed will rely on the state of the labor market, as well as inflation. So the chances for another rate increase this year are quite high. After all, the labor market is in fairly good condition and inflation has resumed growth. However, the effect was short-term with the dollar literally losing all its gains within a day. Although, Mario Draghi was partly to blame. The head of the ECB said that there is no reason to continue the program of quantitative easing after December this year.

In fact, there were no other significant events for the week. The final data on inflation in Europe coincided with a preliminary estimate, and inflation accelerated from 1.3% to 1.5%. Apparently, this was the reason for the statements of Mario Draghi. However, such a result was expected so the market did not pay attention to it. Also, the growth rate of retail sales in the UK accelerated from 1.4% to 2.4%. Despite the clearly positive nature of the data, they also did not have a significant impact on the market.

It's all about the German elections which took place on Sunday. The market was waiting for the results. Of course, no one doubted the victory of Angela Merkel and her CDU / CSU. However, the two most influential parties in Germany, the same CDU / CSU and SPD, received the worst result since 1949. Especially since the SPD announced the transition to the opposition. Because of this, Angela Merkel will now have to form a coalition with the Greens and FDP. All three parties have significant differences on a variety of issues, so the coalition is clearly shaky. The German press has already dubbed it "Jamaica". Moreover, the coalition itself does not seem to be the most reliable so the negotiations on its formation will be extremely tough. Obviously, the CDU / CSU will have to make a number of concessions. In such an uncertain situation, investors will not make hasty decisions. Therefore, the potential for strengthening the euro is rather small.

The macroeconomic calendar for the current week does not spoil us with significant news. The preliminary data on the inflation in Europe is worth paying attention to because it may show further acceleration to 1.6%. Given that these data will come out at the very end of the week when the outlines of the new ruling coalition in Germany may be known, the euro will have many reasons for optimism. However, before that, the euro will remain under pressure as the final data on US GDP in the second quarter would show the acceleration of economic growth from 2.0% to 2.2%. Similar data from the UK would confirm the fact of a slowdown in economic growth from 2.0% to 1.7%.

You can also expect a certain reaction to a number of other data. In particular, home sales in the primary market in the US may increase by 3.3% while orders for durable goods may add 1.0%. However, this is about positive news for the dollar. The data on personal incomes and expenses, which should grow by 0.3% and 0.1%, may become negative. Taking into account that the income growth is not ahead of the expense growth, this will be perceived as a signal for a rapid decline in consumer activity. This data will be released on Friday, immediately after the preliminary data on inflation in Europe. The pound has nothing to rejoice for, as a significant reduction in the number of approved applications for mortgages is projected.

In general, the dollar has every chance of strengthening. And only on Friday will it have to give up its position a little. During the week, the EUR/USD pair may fall to 1.1795.

The GBP/USD pair is also waiting for a decline to 1.3395.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

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Post #: 46
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 9/26/2017 10:52:31 PM   
IFXGertrude

 

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AUD/JPY right on buying level, remain bullish

The price is now testing major support at 88.52 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap support, bullish divergence) and we expect to see a bounce above this level to push price up to 89.66 resistance (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance).

Stochastic (34,3,1) is starting to bounce nicely from our 5% support and ha good upside potential

Buy above 88.52. Stop loss is at 87.89. Take profit is at 89.66.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

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Post #: 47
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 9/27/2017 11:03:43 PM   
IFXGertrude

 

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Daily analysis of USDX for September 28, 2017

USDX is testing upper Bollinger bands across the board and looks forward to testing the next resistance around 94.04. However, we're still expecting a corrective move towards the 200 SMA at H1 chart in a first degree. If the index manages to break above 94.04, we can expect another higher leg to test the 95.00 psychological level.

H1 chart's resistance levels: 93.09 / 94.04
H1 chart's support levels: 91.67 / 90.30

Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place sell (short) orders only if the USD Index breaks with a bearish candlestick; the support level is at 91.67, take profit is at 90.30 and stop loss is at 93.04.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

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Post #: 48
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 9/28/2017 11:08:05 PM   
IFXGertrude

 

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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for September 29, 2017

Wave summary:
We continue to look for more upside pressure towards 1.6875, but we need a break above minor resistance at 1.6410 to get the next "GO" higher. As long as the minor resistance at 1.6410 is able to cap the upside, we should look for a minor dip to 1.6311 before turning up again.

R3: 1.6451
R2: 1.6410
R1: 1.6340
Pivot: 1.6300
S1: 1.6278
S2: 1.6222
S3: 1.6200

Trading recommendation:
We will buy EUR again at 1.6300 or upon a break above 1.6365.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

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Post #: 49
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 10/1/2017 11:10:18 PM   
IFXGertrude

 

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EUR/USD approaching major resistance, prepare to sell

The price is approaching major resistance at 1.1841 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap resistance) and we expect to see a strong reaction off this level to push the price down to at least 1.1728 support (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support, Elliott wave theory).

Stochastic (34,3,1) is seeing major resistance from the 100% level and we're starting to see a nice reversal take place.

Sell below 1.1841. Stop loss is at 1.1890. Take profit is at 1.1728.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

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Post #: 50
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 10/2/2017 11:30:39 PM   
IFXGertrude

 

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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for Oct 03, 2017

When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released, such as PPI m/m and Spanish Unemployment Change. The US will release the Economic Data, too, such as Total Vehicle Sale, so, amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a low to medium volatility during this day.

TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.1789.
Strong Resistance:1.1782.
Original Resistance: 1.1771.
Inner Sell Area: 1.1760.
Target Inner Area: 1.1732.
Inner Buy Area: 1.1704.
Original Support: 1.1693.
Strong Support: 1.1682.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.1675.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

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Post #: 51
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 10/3/2017 11:06:10 PM   
IFXGertrude

 

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Technical analysis of USD/JPY for Oct 04, 2017

In Asia, Japan today will not release any Economic Data, but the US will release some Economic Data, such as Crude Oil Inventories, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, Final Services PMI, and ADP Non-Farm Employment Change. So, there is a probability the USD/JPY will move with medium volatility during this day.

TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Resistance. 3: 113.16.
Resistance. 2: 112.94.
Resistance. 1: 112.72.
Support. 1: 112.44.
Support. 2: 112.22.
Support. 3: 112.00.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

(in reply to IFXGertrude)
Post #: 52
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 10/4/2017 11:33:29 PM   
IFXGertrude

 

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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for Oct 05, 2017

When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released, such as ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts, French 10-y Bond Auction, Spanish 10-y Bond Auction, and Retail PMI. The US will release the Economic Data, too, such as Natural Gas Storage, Factory Orders m/m, Trade Balance, Unemployment Claims, and Challenger Job Cuts y/y, so, amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a low to medium volatility during this day.

TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.1812.
Strong Resistance:1.1805.
Original Resistance: 1.1794.
Inner Sell Area: 1.1783.
Target Inner Area: 1.1755.
Inner Buy Area: 1.1727.
Original Support: 1.1716.
Strong Support: 1.1705.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.1698.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

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Post #: 53
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 10/5/2017 11:36:00 PM   
IFXGertrude

 

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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for Oct 06, 2017

When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released, such as Italian Retail Sales m/m, French Trade Balance, French Gov Budget Balance, and German Factory Orders m/m. The US will release the Economic Data, too, such as Consumer Credit m/m, Unemployment Rate, Non-Farm Employment Change, and Average Hourly Earnings m/m, so, amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a medium to high volatility during this day.

TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.1769.
Strong Resistance:1.1762.
Original Resistance: 1.1751.
Inner Sell Area: 1.1740.
Target Inner Area: 1.1712.
Inner Buy Area: 1.1684.
Original Support: 1.1673.
Strong Support: 1.1662.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.1655.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

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Post #: 54
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 10/8/2017 11:11:56 PM   
IFXGertrude

 

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EUR/USD testing strong resistance, prepare to sell

The price has bounced up perfectly from our buying area previously and is fast approaching our profit target. We turn bearish today looking to sell below 1.11744 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance) for a push down to at least 1.1653 support (Fibonacci extension).

Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing major resistance below 95% and we expect a corresponding reaction from this level.

Sell below 1.1744. Stop loss is at 1.1793. Take profit is at 1.1653.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

(in reply to IFXGertrude)
Post #: 55
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 10/9/2017 10:40:38 PM   
IFXGertrude

 

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Technical analysis of USD/JPY for Oct 10, 2017

In Asia, Japan will release the Economy Watchers Sentiment and Current Account data, and the US will release some Economic Data, such as IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism and NFIB Small Business Index. So, there is a probability the USD/JPY will move with ... volatility during this day.

TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Resistance. 3: 113.27.
Resistance. 2: 113.06.
Resistance. 1: 112.83.
Support. 1: 112.55.
Support. 2: 112.33.
Support. 3: 112.12.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

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Post #: 56
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 10/10/2017 11:28:55 PM   
IFXGertrude

 

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Technical analysis of NZD/USD for October 11, 2017

Overview:
The NZD/USD didn't make significant movement yesterday. There are no changes in my technical outlook. The bias remains bearish in the nearest term testing 0.7000 or higher. Immediate support is seen around 0.7087. The NZD/USD pair fell from the level of 0.7128 towards 0.7087. Now, the price is set at 0.7069 to act as a minor support. It should be noted that volatility is very high for that the NZD/USD pair is still moving between 0.7128 and 0.7040 in coming hours. Furthermore, the price has been set below the strong resistance at the levels of 0.7169 and 0.7220, which coincides with the 23.6% and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level respectively. Additionally, the price is in a bearish channel now. Amid the previous events, the pair is still in a downtrend. From this point, the NZD/USD pair is continuing in a bearish trend from the new resistance of 0.7128. Thereupon, the price spot of 0.7128/0.7087 remains a significant resistance zone. Therefore, a possibility that the NZD/USD pair will have downside momentum is rather convincing and the structure of a fall does not look corrective. In order to indicate a bearish opportunity below 1.0020, sell below 0.7128 or 0.7087 with the first targets at 0.7040 and 0.7000 (support 3). However, the stop loss should be located above the level of 0.7169.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

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Post #: 57
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 10/11/2017 5:10:13 AM   
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Post #: 58
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 10/12/2017 12:04:45 AM   
IFXGertrude

 

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The political crisis in Spain does not put pressure on the euro

Despite the continuing tension between Spain and Catalonia, the European currency continues to strengthen its positions against the US dollar. The expected publication of the report of the Federal Reserve System since the last meeting also does not put pressure on euro buyers.

Today, the Prime Minister of Spain has demanded that the leader of Catalonia Carles Puigdemont gave a clearer assessment of his position and answer the question whether he declared the independence of the region or not.

If the Catalan leader takes this step, the Prime Minister of Spain will be fully entitled to deprive the rights of Catalonia some autonomy, which will lead to greater confrontation. This will be done with an based on article 155 of the Spanish Constitution, which allows the government to deprive the regions of certain rights of autonomy in the event of a threat to the interests of Spain.

Statements by the representatives of the Federal Reserve did not affect the prices of the US dollar. Today, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Charles Evans, draw the focus towards the fundamental indicators of the US economy. In his view, the current situation is good enough to start a discussion about the need to raise interest rates later this year. Evans also noted the improvement in the situation with wages, and expects that the unemployment rate in the US may drop even lower.

As for the technical picture of the EURUSD pair, going beyond resistance 1.1830 had a positive impact on new buyers of risky assets, which led to the further increase of the trading instrument already in the 1.1860 area with the main purpose of reaching 1.1870.

The growth potential of the euro may be limited by the Fed's minutes, which will be published tonight.

Prices of oil fell after the release of the OPEC report, which noted an increase in production levels.

According to the data, the cartel's production in September this year increased to 32.75 million barrels per day. OPEC expects oil demand to grow by 1.5 million barrels per day by 2017 fiscal year, as well as 1.4 million barrels a day in 2018.

The cartel also increased the estimate of the world supply of oil in September to 96.5 million barrels per day. Total oil reserves in OECD countries in August 2017 were 171 million barrels, above the five-year average level.

As for the technical picture of oil, only a breakthrough of the level of 51.30 on the WTI mark can lead to a larger upward movement with a test of the monthly highs around 52.80. If buyers can not get hold of the level of 51 US dollars, a downward correction may lead to the updating of the lower limit of 49.40.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

(in reply to IFXGertrude)
Post #: 59
RE: Wave Analysis by InstaForex - 10/12/2017 11:34:03 PM   
IFXGertrude

 

Posts: 597
Joined: 8/15/2014
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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for Oct 13, 2017

When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released, such as German Final CPI m/m. The US will release the Economic Data, too, such as Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations, Business Inventories m/m, Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment, Retail Sales m/m, Core Retail Sales m/m, Core CPI m/m, and CPI m/m, so, amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a low to medium volatility during this day.

TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.1886.
Strong Resistance:1.1879.
Original Resistance: 1.1868.
Inner Sell Area: 1.1857.
Target Inner Area: 1.1829.
Inner Buy Area: 1.1801.
Original Support: 1.1790.
Strong Support: 1.1779.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.1772.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

(in reply to IFXGertrude)
Post #: 60
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